Formalized Theoretical Intelligence Potential [ftip-0001]

Formalized Theoretical Intelligence Potential (FTIP) studies how much reliable capability post-training and agent procedures can obtain from a specified pretrained model, and how that capability depends on information, feedback, computation and evaluation. The question is comparative: what improves, through which mechanism, at what cost, and on which tasks? It concerns behavior under specified conditions, rather than an intrinsic intelligence number assigned to a model.

Post-training studies how demonstrations, preferences, rewards and interaction change a model's policy. Fine-tuning, direct preference optimization, and reinforcement learning with human or verifiable feedback differ in their objectives, feedback and update procedures. Agent systems add another source of change: tool use, search, persistent state and retained context can alter behavior even with fixed model weights. Their computation, failure modes and reliability are part of the capability being studied.

Evaluation and finite limits ask which improvements survive independent testing, what transfers to other task laws, and what follows from assumptions about sampling, support, feedback and proxy error. Architecture and optimization ask how the model's computation, parameterization and optimizer affect achievable capability and resource tradeoffs. Matched comparisons connect these questions without identifying a higher training reward, a successful rollout and a transferable capability as the same outcome.

Conceptual discovery across generations extends the study to successive learned artifacts, reusable representations, curricula and contributions from independently developed researchers. It asks when a system can discover a method and acquire the ability to use it on fresh problems, with development and learning costs included. Mathematical research supplies concrete settings for that question; the proposed discovery-cost separation remains open.

Civilization and economic reproduction ask how learning resources arise from productive capacity, finance and the renewal of knowledge. Economic development can constrain a campaign or expand its future resources. The chapter proves conditional bounds for specified models and studies reliable contributions and shared preparation costs, alongside alternative models that sustain continued learning. These results make the budget part of the mathematical question; the general discovery lower bound remains open.

The shared model, task and evaluation interfaces support these different lines of inquiry. The notes combine published empirical observations, specified mechanisms, finite mathematical results and open research questions. Each result has its own assumptions and scope; a capability claim depends on the starting artifact, the intervention, independent evaluation and resource bounds.